Difference between revisions of "User:ARuiz"
From REU@MU
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* Started researching the scientific literature for examples of uses of probabilistic forecasting. | * Started researching the scientific literature for examples of uses of probabilistic forecasting. | ||
* Worked with the Brier score metric in order to identify potential flaws. | * Worked with the Brier score metric in order to identify potential flaws. | ||
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| + | Week 2: | ||
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| + | * Further reading into applications for probabilistic forecasting. | ||
| + | * Implemented basic probabilistic forecasting scoring metrics (pinball, Winkler, Brier). | ||
| + | * Read papers on probabilistic load forecasting. | ||
| + | * Familiarized myself with GasDay Labs' database. | ||
Revision as of 22:00, 10 June 2016
Week 1:
- Read Superforecasting: The art and science of prediction. Random House, 2015 by Tetlock, Philip, and Dan Gardner.
- Met with mentor for background on the GasDay Labs mission and our research topic.
- Met with mentor for background on the specifics in GasDay Labs models.
- Started researching the scientific literature for examples of uses of probabilistic forecasting.
- Worked with the Brier score metric in order to identify potential flaws.
Week 2:
- Further reading into applications for probabilistic forecasting.
- Implemented basic probabilistic forecasting scoring metrics (pinball, Winkler, Brier).
- Read papers on probabilistic load forecasting.
- Familiarized myself with GasDay Labs' database.
