Difference between revisions of "User:ARuiz"
From REU@MU
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* Read papers on probabilistic load forecasting. | * Read papers on probabilistic load forecasting. | ||
* Familiarized myself with GasDay Labs' database. | * Familiarized myself with GasDay Labs' database. | ||
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| + | Week 5: | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Read uncertainty quantification papers. | ||
| + | |||
| + | Week 6: | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Read uncertainty quantification papers | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Finally finished reading Gneiting et al. (2014) paper on probabilistic forecasting. | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Interviewed engineers for insight on uncertainty quantification. | ||
Revision as of 23:25, 8 July 2016
Week 1:
- Read Superforecasting: The art and science of prediction. Random House, 2015 by Tetlock, Philip, and Dan Gardner.
- Met with mentor for background on the GasDay Labs mission and our research topic.
- Met with mentor for background on the specifics in GasDay Labs models.
- Started researching the scientific literature for examples of uses of probabilistic forecasting.
- Worked with the Brier score metric in order to identify potential flaws.
Week 2:
- Further reading into applications for probabilistic forecasting.
- Implemented basic probabilistic forecasting scoring metrics (pinball, Winkler, Brier).
- Read papers on probabilistic load forecasting.
- Familiarized myself with GasDay Labs' database.
Week 5:
- Read uncertainty quantification papers.
Week 6:
- Read uncertainty quantification papers
- Finally finished reading Gneiting et al. (2014) paper on probabilistic forecasting.
- Interviewed engineers for insight on uncertainty quantification.
