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Latest revision as of 06:25, 12 June 2015
Contents
Personal Info
Curtis Stochl is a third year Mathematics and Computer Science major at Coe College in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. He is the son of Jon Stochl, a self-made pizza man and Kathy Stochl, a beautician. He spends the majority of his life listening to the St. Louis Cardinals. He works in the GasDay Lab on the fifth floor of Olin Engineering Building.
Milestones
Week 1
- Set goals and milestones
- Learn Matlab
- Read literature on basic forecasting
Week 2
- Create paper outline
- Master Matlab
- Read literature on rule-based forecasting and blending
Week 3
- Write backgound section of final paper
- Test for initial model
Week 4
- Write literature survey
- Run initial model
Week 5
- Write methods
- Lab presentation
- Create blended model
- Test for blended model
Week 6
- Blended model running
Week 7
- Write results
Week 8
- Toronto conference
- Revise paper
Week 9
- Complete paper
- Present findings for GasDay lab
Week 10
- Create poster
- Prepare final presentation for REU
Work Log
Week 1
Tuesday, May 31st
- Orientation
Wednesday, June 1st
- Met with Dr. Corliss
- Read articles on Blending and Rule-Based Forecasting
- Sat in on a meeting between GasDay Administrators and Economic Professors to discuss long-term forecasting research
- Listened to Graduate Student presentations
Thursday, June 2nd
- Met with Dr. Corliss
- Read more articles on Blending and Rule-Based Forecasting
- Studied Matlab
- Attended research talk by Dr. Factor
- Visited Library
Friday, June 3rd
- Met with Dr. Corliss
- Programmed in Matlab
- Initial data study in Matlab
Week 2
Monday, June 6th
- Attended LDC meeting
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Read text book on forecasting
- Matlab programming
Tuesday, June 7th
- GasDay Camp
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Discussed Matlab coding practices and forecasting methods
- Read forecasting text book
- Began outlining final paper
- Matlab programming and modeling
Wednesday, June 8th
- Wrote project summary
- Listened to Wednesday Lab Presentations
- Matlab Modeling
- Worked on outline for final paper
Thursday, June 9th
- Matlab Modeling
- Attended working lunch
- Studied Data
Friday, June 10th
- Finished outline for final paper
- Looked at hundreds of daily flow graphs
Week 3
Monday, June 13th
- Read forecasting text
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Reading on MATLAB statistical functions
Tuesday, June 14th
- Attended MATLAB seminar for Technical Computing
- Attended Dr. Brylow's talk on Technical Papers and Talks
- MATLAB modeling and statistics
Wednesday, June 15th
- Attended seminar in Appleton, WI
Thursday, June 16th
- Watched MATLAB seminar on short-term load forecasting
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Working lunch
- Research techniques seminar
- Fought Emacs and was soundly defeated
Friday, June 17th
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Read article on ensemble forecasting
- Wrote MATLAB seminar summary
- Starting introduction to final paper
Week 4
Monday, June 20th
- Wrote introduction to final paper
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Finished introduction to final paper
- Finished background section for final paper
- Forecasting experimentation
Tuesday, June 21st
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- MATLAB
- Prepared presentation for Wednesday
- Wrote more for the paper
Wednesday, June 22nd
- MATLAB
- Presentation preparation
- Celebrated Dr. Corliss' Birthday
- Gave hour long presentation on work done so far
- Attended another hour long presentation
Thursday, June 23rd
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Working lunch
- Data collection
- Paper writing
Friday, June 24th
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- MATLAB
- Reading
- Paper writing and revision
Week 5
Monday, June 2tth
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Incorporated multi-horizon forecast into plotday
- Forecast experimentation
- Paper writing
- Reading
Tuesday, June 28th
- Read forecasting text book
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Writing on final paper
- MATLAB
Wednesday, June 29th
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Forecasting with MATLAB
- Prepared lab presentation
Thursday, June 30th
- Lab presentation preparation
- Lab presentations
- Tried to implement parallel computing to forecasting tool
Friday, JULY 1ST!!!!
- Meeting with Dr. Corliss
- Explored parallelization in MATLAB
- Touched up multi-horizon forecast model
- Began running of multi-horizon forecast error function
- Worked on final paper
Week 6
Monday, July 4th
- Grilled
- Ate
- Blew stuff up
Tuesday, July 5th
- Studied results from multi-horizon error function
- Meeting with Corliss
- Explored parallelization in MATLAB
- Began building blended model
Wednesday, July 6th
- Meeting with Corliss
- Began preparing presentation for Thursday
- Attended lab seminars
Thursday, July 7th
- Finished presentation
- Gave presentation
- REU Lunch
- Speaker
- MATLAB parallelization
Friday, July 8th
- Worked on clusters for parallelization
- Meeting with Corliss
- More parallelization
Week 7
Monday, July 11th
- Recursive least squares lecture
- Debugged parallel implementation of least squares implementation
Wednesday, July 13th
- Implemented recursive least squares algorithm
- Debugged recursive least squares algorithm
- Explored algorithm results
- Prepared presentation
- Discussed errors in recursive algorithm
- Fixed errors
Thursday, July 14th
- Constructed blended model class
- REU lunch
- Finished blended model class
Friday, July 15th
- Added to blended model class
- Debugged class
Week 8
Monday, July 18th
- Debugged class
- Meeting with Corliss
- Added functions to class
Tuesday, July 19th
- Meeting with Corliss
- Toured new engineering building
- Added functions to class
Wednesday, July 20th
- Meeting with Corliss
- Lab presentations
- Began work on poster
Thursday, July 21st
- Meeting with Corliss
- REU lunch
- Worked on poster
Friday, July 22nd
- Work on poster
- Added functions to class to obtain graphics for poster
Week 9
Sunday, July 24th
- Attempted to fly to Canada
- Failed
Monday, July 25th
- Tested blending algorithm on more data
- Debugged Class
- Worked on final paper and poster
