User:ARuiz
From REU@MU
Week 1:
- Read Superforecasting: The art and science of prediction. Random House, 2015 by Tetlock, Philip, and Dan Gardner.
- Met with mentor for background on the GasDay Labs mission and our research topic.
- Met with mentor for background on the specifics in GasDay Labs models.
- Started researching the scientific literature for examples of uses of probabilistic forecasting.
- Worked with the Brier score metric in order to identify potential flaws.