User:Cdstochl

Personal Info

Curtis Stochl is a third year Mathematics and Computer Science major at Coe College in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. He is the son of Jon Stochl, a self-made pizza man and Kathy Stochl, a beautician. He spends the majority of his life listening to the St. Louis Cardinals. He works in the GasDay Lab on the fifth floor of Olin Engineering Building.

Milestones

Week 1

• Set goals and milestones
• Learn Matlab
• Read literature on basic forecasting

Week 2

• Create paper outline
• Master Matlab
• Read literature on rule-based forecasting and blending

Week 3

• Write backgound section of final paper
• Test for initial model

Week 4

• Write literature survey
• Run initial model

Week 5

• Write methods
• Lab presentation
• Create blended model
• Test for blended model

Week 6

• Blended model running

Week 7

• Write results

Week 8

• Toronto conference
• Revise paper

Week 9

• Complete paper
• Present findings for GasDay lab

Week 10

• Create poster
• Prepare final presentation for REU

Work Log

Week 1

Tuesday, May 31st

• Orientation

Wednesday, June 1st

• Met with Dr. Corliss
• Read articles on Blending and Rule-Based Forecasting
• Sat in on a meeting between GasDay Administrators and Economic Professors to discuss long-term forecasting research
• Listened to Graduate Student presentations

Thursday, June 2nd

• Met with Dr. Corliss
• Read more articles on Blending and Rule-Based Forecasting
• Studied Matlab
• Attended research talk by Dr. Factor
• Visited Library

Friday, June 3rd

• Met with Dr. Corliss
• Programmed in Matlab
• Initial data study in Matlab

Week 2

Monday, June 6th

• Attended LDC meeting
• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Read text book on forecasting
• Matlab programming

Tuesday, June 7th

• GasDay Camp
• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
  • Discussed Matlab coding practices and forecasting methods
• Read forecasting text book
• Began outlining final paper
• Matlab programming and modeling

Wednesday, June 8th

• Wrote project summary
• Listened to Wednesday Lab Presentations
• Matlab Modeling
• Worked on outline for final paper

Thursday, June 9th

• Matlab Modeling
• Attended working lunch
• Studied Data

Friday, June 10th

• Finished outline for final paper
• Looked at hundreds of daily flow graphs

Week 3

Monday, June 13th

• Read forecasting text
• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Reading on MATLAB statistical functions

Tuesday, June 14th

• Attended MATLAB seminar for Technical Computing
• Attended Dr. Brylow's talk on Technical Papers and Talks
• MATLAB modeling and statistics

Wednesday, June 15th

• Attended seminar in Appleton, WI

Thursday, June 16th

• Watched MATLAB seminar on short-term load forecasting
• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Working lunch
• Research techniques seminar
• Fought Emacs and was soundly defeated

Friday, June 17th

• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Read article on ensemble forecasting
• Wrote MATLAB seminar summary
• Starting introduction to final paper

Week 4

Monday, June 20th

• Wrote introduction to final paper
• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Finished introduction to final paper
• Finished background section for final paper
• Forecasting experimentation

Tuesday, June 21st

• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• MATLAB
• Prepared presentation for Wednesday
• Wrote more for the paper

Wednesday, June 22nd

• MATLAB
• Presentation preparation
• Celebrated Dr. Corliss' Birthday
• Gave hour long presentation on work done so far
• Attended another hour long presentation

Thursday, June 23rd

• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Working lunch
• Data collection
• Paper writing

Friday, June 24th

• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• MATLAB
• Reading
• Paper writing and revision

Week 5

Monday, June 2tth

• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Incorporated multi-horizon forecast into plotday
• Forecast experimentation
• Paper writing
• Reading

Tuesday, June 28th

• Read forecasting text book
• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Writing on final paper
• MATLAB

Wednesday, June 29th

• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Forecasting with MATLAB
• Prepared lab presentation

Thursday, June 30th

• Lab presentation preparation
• Lab presentations
• Tried to implement parallel computing to forecasting tool

Friday, JULY 1ST!!!!

• Meeting with Dr. Corliss
• Explored parallelization in MATLAB
• Touched up multi-horizon forecast model
• Began running of multi-horizon forecast error function
• Worked on final paper

Week 6

Monday, July 4th

• Grilled
• Ate
• Blew stuff up

Tuesday, July 5th

• Studied results from multi-horizon error function
• Meeting with Corliss
• Explored parallelization in MATLAB
• Began building blended model

Wednesday, July 6th

• Meeting with Corliss
• Began preparing presentation for Thursday
• Attended lab seminars

Thursday, July 7th

• Finished presentation
• Gave presentation
• REU Lunch
• Speaker
• MATLAB parallelization

Friday, July 8th

• Worked on clusters for parallelization
• Meeting with Corliss
• More parallelization

Week 7

Monday, July 11th

• Recursive least squares lecture
• Debugged parallel implementation of least squares implementation

Wednesday, July 13th

• Implemented recursive least squares algorithm
• Debugged recursive least squares algorithm
• Explored algorithm results
• Prepared presentation
• Discussed errors in recursive algorithm
• Fixed errors

Thursday, July 14th

• Constructed blended model class
• REU lunch
• Finished blended model class

Friday, July 15th

• Added to blended model class
• Debugged class

Week 8

Monday, July 18th

• Debugged class
• Meeting with Corliss
• Added functions to class

Tuesday, July 19th

• Meeting with Corliss
• Toured new engineering building
• Added functions to class

Wednesday, July 20th

• Meeting with Corliss
• Lab presentations
• Began work on poster

Thursday, July 21st

• Meeting with Corliss
• REU lunch
• Worked on poster

Friday, July 22nd

• Work on poster
• Added functions to class to obtain graphics for poster

Week 9

Sunday, July 24th

• Attempted to fly to Canada
• Failed

Monday, July 25th

• Tested blending algorithm on more data
• Debugged Class
• Worked on final paper and poster