User:John.Bihn

Personal Info

John Bihn is a statistics major at Williams College.

Research Topic

Using statistical models to estimate the behavior of storm surge during a hurricane or tropical storm.

Milestones

Week 1 (6/1 - 6/5)

• Read about statistical surrogates
• Plot test function
• Find optimization routine in Python
• Become comfortable with LaTeX

Week 2 (6/5 - 6/12)

• Complete eading on storm surges
  • Technical paper from Dr. Spiller
  • Non-technical, independent research
• Use optimization routine to find parameters to fit

Week 3 (6/15 - 6/19)

• Play around with reading data files from computer experiment
  • Hopefully storm surge data – maybe move to Week 4
• Implement optimization of model posterior (∴)

Week 4 (6/22 – 6/26)

• Continue on (∴)
• Play around with reading data files and plotting outputs
• Reading about Monte Carlo calculations
• Regroup and discuss plan for July

Week 5 (6/29 – 7/3)

• Mini-presentation on July 2nd
• Work on applying surrogate to storm surge model (♦)
• Identify challenges in doing so

Week 6 (7/6 – 7/10)

• Continue to work on (♦)
• Use surrogate in probability calculation (∗)
• Discuss possible scenario model

Week 7 (7/13 – 7/17)

• Work on (♦) and (∗)

Week 8 (7/20 – 7/24)

• Work on (♦) and (∗)

Week 9 (7/27 – 7/30)

• Posters due July 29th

Week 10 (8/3 – 8/7)

• Finish presentations and papers