Difference between revisions of "User:ARuiz"

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* Attended ethics training
 
* Attended ethics training
 
* Started learning about machine learning by implementing simple multivariate linear regression algorithms.
 
* Started learning about machine learning by implementing simple multivariate linear regression algorithms.
*  
+
* Read some of the scientific literature for scoring metrics and probabilistic forecast properties.
  
 
Week 4:
 
Week 4:
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* Started learning about the implementation of neural networks.
 
* Started learning about the implementation of neural networks.
* Read uncertainty quantification papers
+
* Interviewed Matt Thomas for insight on uncertainty quantification.
* Finally finished reading Gneiting et al. (2014) paper on probabilistic forecasting.
+
* Read some of the scientific literature on uncertainty quantification and probabilistic forecasting.
* Interviewed engineers for insight on uncertainty quantification.
+
* Met with Dr. Corliss

Revision as of 18:17, 12 July 2016

Week 1:

  • Read Superforecasting: The art and science of prediction. Random House, 2015 by Tetlock, Philip, and Dan Gardner.
  • Met with mentor for background on the GasDay Labs mission and our research topic.
  • Met with mentor for background on the specifics in GasDay Labs models.
  • Started researching the scientific literature for examples of uses of probabilistic forecasting.
  • Worked with the Brier score metric in order to identify potential flaws.

Week 2:

  • Further reading into applications for probabilistic forecasting.
  • Implemented basic probabilistic forecasting scoring metrics (pinball, Winkler, Brier).
  • Read papers on probabilistic load forecasting.
  • Familiarized myself with GasDay Labs' database.

Week 3:

  • Attended ethics training
  • Started learning about machine learning by implementing simple multivariate linear regression algorithms.
  • Read some of the scientific literature for scoring metrics and probabilistic forecast properties.

Week 4:

  • Learned about categorical classification machine learning algorithms.
  • Read papers about about different strengths and weaknesses in scoring metrics.
  • Prepared presentation for GasDay talk.

Week 5:

  • learned about regularization for some machine learning models.
  • Read uncertainty quantification papers.
  • Read papers on probabilistic forecasting.
  • Prepared and practiced presentation for REU talk.

Week 6:

  • Started learning about the implementation of neural networks.
  • Interviewed Matt Thomas for insight on uncertainty quantification.
  • Read some of the scientific literature on uncertainty quantification and probabilistic forecasting.
  • Met with Dr. Corliss